Worcester Polytech Engineers vs Smith Bears prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Worcester Polytech Engineers

28.10.2026

22:00

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Smith Bears

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Worcester Polytech Engineers	7	4	2	1	14:7	14
12.	Smith Bears	7	0	1	6	2:20	1

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Smith Bears: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)1.74 : 0.83

History47%43%10%

Model59%23%18%

Days of rest: 11.1Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Worcester Polytech Engineers53%History 47%Model 59%

Draw33%History 43%Model 23%

Smith Bears14%History 10%Model 18%

Over 1.581%History 90%Model 73%

Over 2.552%History 57%Model 47%

Over 3.518%History 10%Model 26%

Both teams to score45%History 43%Model 47%

1st half Over 0.572%History 73%Model 70%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2222/2864

Goals per match3.38

Home wins46%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Worcester Polytech Engineers vs Smith Bears, NCAA III, Women

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