William Paterson Pioneers vs New Paltz Hawks, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
NCAA III, Men
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William Paterson Pioneers
22.10.2026
00:00
?DWLWW
New Paltz Hawks
MPWDLGPts
5.New Paltz Hawks63129:1210
8.William Paterson Pioneers61053:133
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
William Paterson Pioneers: Little data · matches: 3
New Paltz Hawks: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)1.58 : 2.42
History25%0%75%
Model25%19%56%
Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26
Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

William Paterson Pioneers25%History 25%Model 25%
Draw10%History 0%Model 19%
New Paltz Hawks66%History 75%Model 56%
Over 1.587%History 83%Model 91%
Over 2.580%History 83%Model 76%
Over 3.557%History 58%Model 57%
Both teams to score72%History 71%Model 72%
1st half Over 0.593%History 100%Model 86%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Matches played2145/2812
Goals per match3.27
Home wins44%
Draws18%
Away wins38%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams scored48%
1st half goals per match1.47