Union Dutchmen vs Skidmore Thoroughbreds prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Union Dutchmen

21.10.2026

21:00

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Skidmore Thoroughbreds

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Union Dutchmen	6	3	3	0	5:0	12
6.	Skidmore Thoroughbreds	6	2	1	3	13:7	7

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.2 : 1.1

History40%40%20%

Model38%28%33%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Union Dutchmen39%History 40%Model 38%

Draw34%History 40%Model 28%

Skidmore Thoroughbreds27%History 20%Model 33%

Over 1.568%History 70%Model 67%

Over 2.540%History 40%Model 40%

Over 3.525%History 30%Model 20%

Both teams to score53%History 60%Model 47%

1st half Over 0.568%History 70%Model 65%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

Key probabilities?

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Union Dutchmen vs Skidmore Thoroughbreds, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?