Transylvania Pioneers vs Mount St. Joseph Lions prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Transylvania Pioneers

22.10.2026

00:00

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Mount St. Joseph Lions

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Transylvania Pioneers	6	5	1	0	20:5	16
9.	Mount St. Joseph Lions	6	0	3	3	6:16	3

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)3.2 : 0.8

History80%20%0%

Model84%11%6%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Transylvania Pioneers82%History 80%Model 84%

Draw15%History 20%Model 11%

Mount St. Joseph Lions3%History 0%Model 6%

Over 1.585%History 80%Model 91%

Over 2.573%History 70%Model 76%

Over 3.553%History 50%Model 57%

Both teams to score46%History 40%Model 53%

1st half Over 0.575%History 70%Model 80%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Transylvania Pioneers vs Mount St. Joseph Lions, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?