Torque vs Atletico Mineiro, CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
?LLWLD
Torque
21.10.2026
23:00
?WWWDW
Atletico Mineiro
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.7 : 0.56
History80%10%10%
Model65%23%12%
Days of rest: 3.4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 26.10.26

Key probabilities?

Torque73%History 80%Model 65%
Draw17%History 10%Model 23%
Atletico Mineiro11%History 10%Model 12%
Over 1.561%History 55%Model 66%
Over 2.542%History 45%Model 39%
Over 3.519%History 18%Model 19%
Both teams to score36%History 37%Model 35%
1st half Over 0.566%History 65%Model 67%
Corners Over 9.544%History 45%Model 42%
Cards Over 3.550%History 50%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026 in numbers

Matches played155/156
Goals per match2.31
Home wins45%
Draws32%
Away wins24%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams scored43%
Corner kicks9.1