Thermaikos Thermis vs APE Lagada, A1 EPS Makedonias

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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A1 EPS Makedonias
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Thermaikos Thermis
21.10.2026
14:15
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APE Lagada
MPWDLGPts
3.Thermaikos Thermis851213:616
9.APE Lagada830516:149
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Thermaikos Thermis: Little data · matches: 3
APE Lagada: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)1.63 : 1.46
History54%17%29%
Model42%24%35%
Days of rest: 3Matches in 14 days: 2
Days of rest: 3Matches in 14 days: 2

Key probabilities?

Thermaikos Thermis48%History 54%Model 42%
Draw20%History 17%Model 24%
APE Lagada32%History 29%Model 35%
Over 1.582%History 83%Model 81%
Over 2.563%History 67%Model 60%
Over 3.537%History 38%Model 37%
Both teams to score58%History 54%Model 62%
1st half Over 0.566%History 67%Model 65%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

A1 EPS Makedonias 26/27 in numbers

Matches played64/72
Goals per match3.09
Home wins44%
Draws19%
Away wins38%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams scored56%
1st half goals per match1.38