TCNJ Lions vs Rutgers Camden Scarlet Raptors, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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NCAA III, Women
?WWWWW
TCNJ Lions
21.10.2026
23:00
?LWWWW
Rutgers Camden Scarlet Raptors
MPWDLGPts
2.TCNJ Lions650123:515
4.Rutgers Camden Scarlet Raptors64027:512
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.92 : 1.08
History50%17%33%
Model57%22%21%
Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26
Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

TCNJ Lions53%History 50%Model 57%
Draw19%History 17%Model 22%
Rutgers Camden Scarlet Raptors27%History 33%Model 21%
Over 1.578%History 75%Model 80%
Over 2.558%History 58%Model 58%
Over 3.534%History 33%Model 35%
Both teams to score45%History 33%Model 56%
1st half Over 0.582%History 83%Model 81%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Matches played2150/2864
Goals per match3.37
Home wins45%
Draws15%
Away wins40%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams scored33%
1st half goals per match1.67