Swarthmore Garnet vs Washington Shoreman prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Swarthmore Garnet

22.10.2026

00:00

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Washington Shoreman

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Swarthmore Garnet	6	3	0	3	10:11	9
10.	Washington Shoreman	6	0	2	4	4:10	2

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.9 : 1.2

History60%10%30%

Model54%22%24%

Days of rest: 8Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Swarthmore Garnet57%History 60%Model 54%

Draw16%History 10%Model 22%

Washington Shoreman27%History 30%Model 24%

Over 1.581%History 80%Model 82%

Over 2.570%History 80%Model 60%

Over 3.539%History 40%Model 38%

Both teams to score60%History 60%Model 59%

1st half Over 0.567%History 70%Model 63%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Swarthmore Garnet vs Washington Shoreman, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?