SUNY Oswego State Lakers vs Alfred State Pioneers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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SUNY Oswego State Lakers

21.10.2026

21:00

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Alfred State Pioneers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Alfred State Pioneers	6	3	0	3	11:17	9
7.	SUNY Oswego State Lakers	7	2	2	3	16:11	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

SUNY Oswego State Lakers: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)0.77 : 2.48

History14%0%86%

Model9%16%75%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

SUNY Oswego State Lakers12%History 14%Model 9%

Draw8%History 0%Model 16%

Alfred State Pioneers80%History 86%Model 75%

Over 1.588%History 93%Model 83%

Over 2.571%History 79%Model 63%

Over 3.536%History 31%Model 41%

Both teams to score55%History 62%Model 49%

1st half Over 0.591%History 93%Model 89%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

SUNY Oswego State Lakers vs Alfred State Pioneers, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?