Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons prediction and pre-match statistics, League One

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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League One

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Stevenage

24.10.2026

15:00

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Milton Keynes Dons

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
9.	Stevenage	10	4	3	3	15:10	15
20.	Milton Keynes Dons	10	1	6	3	11:18	9

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.9 : 1.1

History50%40%10%

Model56%22%22%

Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 3.8Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 27.10.26

Key probabilities?

Stevenage53%History 50%Model 56%

Draw31%History 40%Model 22%

Milton Keynes Dons16%History 10%Model 22%

Over 1.580%History 80%Model 80%

Over 2.564%History 70%Model 58%

Over 3.538%History 40%Model 35%

Both teams to score58%History 60%Model 57%

1st half Over 0.555%History 50%Model 59%

Corners Over 9.567%History 70%Model 65%

Cards Over 3.560%History 60%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

League One 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played125/555

Goals per match2.84

Home wins40%

Draws29%

Away wins31%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Both teams scored57%

Corner kicks11.0

Key probabilities?

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League One 26/27 in numbers

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons, League One

Key probabilities?