Staten Island Dolphins vs Saint Thomas Aquinas Spartans prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA II Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA II Men

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Staten Island Dolphins

21.10.2026

19:00

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Saint Thomas Aquinas Spartans

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Saint Thomas Aquinas Spartans	6	4	2	0	13:5	14
6.	Staten Island Dolphins	7	2	2	3	10:11	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.73 : 1.84

History38%8%54%

Model37%22%41%

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 3.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Staten Island Dolphins37%History 38%Model 37%

Draw15%History 8%Model 22%

Saint Thomas Aquinas Spartans47%History 54%Model 41%

Over 1.589%History 92%Model 87%

Over 2.573%History 77%Model 69%

Over 3.548%History 48%Model 48%

Both teams to score70%History 70%Model 69%

1st half Over 0.583%History 85%Model 82%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

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Matches played1464/1732

Goals per match3.15

Home wins45%

Draws21%

Away wins34%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Both teams scored54%

1st half goals per match1.37

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NCAA II Men 2026 in numbers

Staten Island Dolphins vs Saint Thomas Aquinas Spartans, NCAA II Men

Key probabilities?