St Mary's Texas Rattlers vs UT Tyler Patriots prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA II Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA II Women

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St Mary's Texas Rattlers

21.10.2026

23:30

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UT Tyler Patriots

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	UT Tyler Patriots	11	7	1	3	23:6	22
10.	St Mary's Texas Rattlers	11	4	1	6	19:19	13

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.43 : 1.36

History43%29%29%

Model39%25%36%

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

St Mary's Texas Rattlers41%History 43%Model 39%

Draw27%History 29%Model 25%

UT Tyler Patriots32%History 29%Model 36%

Over 1.578%History 79%Model 77%

Over 2.548%History 43%Model 53%

Over 3.533%History 36%Model 31%

Both teams to score50%History 43%Model 57%

1st half Over 0.575%History 75%Model 76%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA II Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played1875/2241

Goals per match2.89

Home wins46%

Draws19%

Away wins35%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Both teams scored39%

1st half goals per match1.30

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NCAA II Women 2026 in numbers

St Mary's Texas Rattlers vs UT Tyler Patriots, NCAA II Women

Key probabilities?