Springfield Pride vs Wellesley Blues prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Springfield Pride

22.10.2026

00:00

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Wellesley Blues

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
8.	Wellesley Blues	7	2	2	3	7:11	8
9.	Springfield Pride	6	2	0	4	7:16	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Wellesley Blues: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.79 : 1.88

History46%0%54%

Model37%22%41%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Springfield Pride42%History 46%Model 37%

Draw11%History 0%Model 22%

Wellesley Blues48%History 54%Model 41%

Over 1.594%History 100%Model 88%

Over 2.573%History 75%Model 71%

Over 3.548%History 46%Model 50%

Both teams to score58%History 46%Model 71%

1st half Over 0.594%History 100%Model 88%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Springfield Pride vs Wellesley Blues, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?