Sporting JAX vs Louisville City FC prediction and pre-match statistics, USL Championship

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

Open in Prematch analyzer

USL Championship

?LLLLL

Sporting JAX

22.10.2026

00:30

?WWWDW

Louisville City FC

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
4.	Louisville City FC	28	12	7	9	49:43	43
13.	Sporting JAX	28	3	5	20	32:74	14

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.59 : 2.3

History25%24%51%

Model27%20%54%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Sporting JAX26%History 25%Model 27%

Draw22%History 24%Model 20%

Louisville City FC52%History 51%Model 54%

Over 1.587%History 83%Model 90%

Over 2.572%History 69%Model 75%

Over 3.551%History 48%Model 55%

Both teams to score71%History 69%Model 72%

1st half Over 0.579%History 79%Model 79%

Corners Over 9.543%History 41%Model 45%

Cards Over 3.551%History 51%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

USL Championship 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played362/376

Goals per match2.70

Home wins43%

Draws28%

Away wins29%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams scored54%

Corner kicks9.2

Key probabilities?

Now Playing

Upcoming

Results

USL Championship 2026 in numbers

Sporting JAX vs Louisville City FC, USL Championship

Key probabilities?