Sogndal vs Raufoss prediction and pre-match statistics, Norwegian 1st Division

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Norwegian 1st Division

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Sogndal

21.10.2026

18:00

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Raufoss

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
14.	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	42:59	24
16.	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	29:69	20

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.77 : 1.38

History59%12%29%

Model67%16%17%

Days of rest: 3.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 3.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Sogndal63%History 59%Model 67%

Draw14%History 12%Model 16%

Raufoss23%History 29%Model 17%

Over 1.592%History 92%Model 92%

Over 2.575%History 71%Model 78%

Over 3.554%History 48%Model 59%

Both teams to score69%History 68%Model 70%

1st half Over 0.588%History 88%Model 87%

Corners Over 9.572%History 68%Model 75%

Cards Over 3.533%History 33%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Norwegian 1st Division 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played215/241

Goals per match3.82

Home wins50%

Draws18%

Away wins32%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Both teams scored64%

Corner kicks11.2

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Norwegian 1st Division 2026 in numbers

Sogndal vs Raufoss, Norwegian 1st Division

Key probabilities?