Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction and pre-match statistics, J1 League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Shimizu S-Pulse

21.10.2026

11:00

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Machida Zelvia

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Machida Zelvia	10	7	2	1	25:10	23
10.	Shimizu S-Pulse	10	4	2	4	10:11	14

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)0.8 : 1.9

History17%27%57%

Model15%22%63%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 3.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Shimizu S-Pulse16%History 17%Model 15%

Draw24%History 27%Model 22%

Machida Zelvia60%History 57%Model 63%

Over 1.570%History 65%Model 75%

Over 2.549%History 47%Model 51%

Over 3.533%History 38%Model 29%

Both teams to score51%History 55%Model 47%

1st half Over 0.561%History 57%Model 65%

Corners Over 9.544%History 45%Model 42%

Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

J1 League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played100/380

Goals per match2.92

Home wins44%

Draws21%

Away wins35%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Both teams scored56%

Corner kicks9.3

Key probabilities?

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J1 League 26/27 in numbers

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia, J1 League

Key probabilities?