Serrano vs Nova Cidade, Carioca, Série B1

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Carioca, Série B1
?DWWWD
Serrano
24.10.2026
19:00
?DWDLL
Nova Cidade
MPWDLGPts
3.Serrano843111:715
10.Nova Cidade71337:96
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Serrano: Little data · matches: 4
Nova Cidade: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)1.25 : 0.25
History50%50%0%
Model63%30%7%
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 31.10.26
Days of rest: 8Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Serrano56%History 50%Model 63%
Draw40%History 50%Model 30%
Nova Cidade4%History 0%Model 7%
Over 1.547%History 50%Model 44%
Over 2.522%History 25%Model 19%
Over 3.53%History 0%Model 7%
Both teams to score20%History 25%Model 16%
1st half Over 0.538%History 38%Model 39%
Corners Over 9.538%History 46%Model 29%
Cards Over 3.583%History 83%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Carioca, Série B1 2026 in numbers

Matches played43/66
Goals per match2.16
Home wins42%
Draws30%
Away wins28%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams scored37%
Corner kicks9.9