SERCOS vs NBFC, Liga Joinvilense de Futebol, Primeirona

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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Liga Joinvilense de Futebol, Primeirona
?WWWDW
SERCOS
24.10.2026
19:15
?LWLDW
NBFC
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.59 : 1.58
History38%23%39%
Model38%24%38%
Days of rest: 6Matches in 14 days: 1
Days of rest: 6Matches in 14 days: 1

Key probabilities?

SERCOS38%History 38%Model 38%
Draw23%History 23%Model 24%
NBFC39%History 39%Model 38%
Over 1.591%History 100%Model 83%
Over 2.558%History 55%Model 62%
Over 3.536%History 32%Model 39%
Both teams to score67%History 70%Model 63%
1st half Over 0.591%History 100%Model 83%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Liga Joinvilense de Futebol, Primeirona 2026 in numbers

Matches played80/82
Goals per match3.16
Home wins43%
Draws21%
Away wins36%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams scored56%