San Lorenzo vs Newell's prediction and pre-match statistics, Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol

?WWLLD

San Lorenzo

24.10.2026

23:15

?WLDWD

Newell's

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.28 : 0.96

History50%21%29%

Model44%28%28%

Days of rest: 6.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Days of rest: 5Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 01.11.26

Key probabilities?

San Lorenzo47%History 50%Model 44%

Draw25%History 21%Model 28%

Newell's28%History 29%Model 28%

Over 1.563%History 61%Model 66%

Over 2.536%History 32%Model 39%

Over 3.518%History 18%Model 19%

Both teams to score42%History 39%Model 45%

1st half Over 0.557%History 57%Model 56%

Corners Over 9.540%History 43%Model 38%

Cards Over 3.582%History 82%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played450/506

Goals per match2.15

Home wins42%

Draws30%

Away wins28%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Both teams scored47%

Corner kicks8.8

Key probabilities?

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Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2026 in numbers

San Lorenzo vs Newell's, Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Key probabilities?