San Diego State Aztecs vs Utah Valley Wolverines, NCAA

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
NCAA
?DLWDL
San Diego State Aztecs
22.10.2026
03:00
?WLWWL
Utah Valley Wolverines
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.75 : 1.44
History35%27%38%
Model45%23%32%
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

San Diego State Aztecs40%History 35%Model 45%
Draw25%History 27%Model 23%
Utah Valley Wolverines35%History 38%Model 32%
Over 1.584%History 85%Model 83%
Over 2.563%History 65%Model 62%
Over 3.537%History 35%Model 40%
Both teams to score68%History 73%Model 63%
1st half Over 0.574%History 81%Model 67%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA 2026 in numbers

Matches played1433/1761
Goals per match3.03
Home wins50%
Draws22%
Away wins28%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams scored54%
1st half goals per match1.25