Russell Sage Gators vs Hartwick Hawks prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Russell Sage Gators

22.10.2026

00:00

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Hartwick Hawks

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Hartwick Hawks	9	4	1	4	10:9	13
9.	Russell Sage Gators	9	2	1	6	5:20	7

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)0.95 : 1.53

History38%8%53%

Model23%26%51%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Russell Sage Gators31%History 38%Model 23%

Draw17%History 8%Model 26%

Hartwick Hawks52%History 53%Model 51%

Over 1.567%History 63%Model 71%

Over 2.546%History 47%Model 45%

Over 3.530%History 37%Model 24%

Both teams to score38%History 28%Model 48%

1st half Over 0.579%History 78%Model 81%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

Key probabilities?

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Russell Sage Gators vs Hartwick Hawks, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?