Rivier Raiders vs New England Pilgrims prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Rivier Raiders

21.10.2026

23:00

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New England Pilgrims

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Rivier Raiders	9	5	1	3	21:13	16
10.	New England Pilgrims	9	1	3	5	5:12	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

New England Pilgrims: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.67 : 0.79

History58%13%29%

Model58%24%18%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 23.10.26

Key probabilities?

Rivier Raiders58%History 58%Model 58%

Draw18%History 13%Model 24%

New England Pilgrims23%History 29%Model 18%

Over 1.564%History 58%Model 70%

Over 2.551%History 58%Model 44%

Over 3.524%History 25%Model 23%

Both teams to score47%History 50%Model 44%

1st half Over 0.573%History 71%Model 75%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Rivier Raiders vs New England Pilgrims, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?