Quilmes vs San Martin de Tucuman, Primera Nacional

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Primera Nacional
?LLDWL
Quilmes
24.10.2026
21:00
?WLWDL
San Martin de Tucuman
MPWDLGPts
10.San Martin de Tucuman3411131038:3546
14.Quilmes341091530:2939
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.21 : 0.61
History50%26%24%
Model50%31%19%
Days of rest: 7.8Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 31.10.26
Days of rest: 5.9Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Quilmes50%History 50%Model 50%
Draw29%History 26%Model 31%
San Martin de Tucuman21%History 24%Model 19%
Over 1.557%History 59%Model 54%
Over 2.526%History 24%Model 27%
Over 3.59%History 6%Model 11%
Both teams to score31%History 29%Model 32%
1st half Over 0.560%History 62%Model 57%
Corners Over 9.533%History 35%Model 30%
Cards Over 3.565%History 65%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Primera Nacional 2026 in numbers

Matches played611/649
Goals per match1.95
Home wins47%
Draws32%
Away wins21%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams scored40%
Corner kicks8.6