Polonia Chodziez vs Warta Srem prediction and pre-match statistics, IV. Liga

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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IV. Liga - Wielkopolska

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Polonia Chodziez

24.10.2026

14:00

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Warta Srem

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
7.	Polonia Chodziez	12	5	4	3	21:19	19
15.	Warta Srem	12	3	2	7	22:44	11

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)3.6 : 1.5

History60%30%10%

Model76%12%12%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 30.10.26

Days of rest: 6Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

Polonia Chodziez68%History 60%Model 76%

Draw21%History 30%Model 12%

Warta Srem11%History 10%Model 12%

Over 1.593%History 90%Model 96%

Over 2.584%History 80%Model 88%

Over 3.572%History 70%Model 75%

Both teams to score73%History 70%Model 76%

1st half Over 0.593%History 100%Model 86%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

IV. Liga - Wielkopolska 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played108/308

Goals per match3.88

Home wins41%

Draws25%

Away wins34%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Both teams scored65%

Key probabilities?

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IV. Liga - Wielkopolska 26/27 in numbers

Polonia Chodziez vs Warta Srem, IV. Liga - Wielkopolska

Key probabilities?