Penn State–Berks Nittany Lions vs St. Mary´s Seahawks prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Penn State–Berks Nittany Lions

22.10.2026

00:30

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St. Mary´s Seahawks

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	St. Mary´s Seahawks	6	3	1	2	25:7	10
10.	Penn State–Berks Nittany Lions	6	1	0	5	7:16	3

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.61 : 2.4

History54%0%46%

Model26%19%55%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Penn State–Berks Nittany Lions40%History 54%Model 26%

Draw10%History 0%Model 19%

St. Mary´s Seahawks50%History 46%Model 55%

Over 1.587%History 83%Model 91%

Over 2.580%History 83%Model 76%

Over 3.556%History 56%Model 57%

Both teams to score66%History 59%Model 73%

1st half Over 0.595%History 100%Model 90%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Penn State–Berks Nittany Lions vs St. Mary´s Seahawks, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?