Paulton vs Falmouth Town, Southern Football League, Division One South

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Southern Football League, Division One South
?DWWWD
Paulton
21.10.2026
19:30
?DWLWW
Falmouth Town
MPWDLGPts
9.Falmouth Town1253418:1718
16.Paulton1025310:1411
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.3 : 1.2
History30%50%20%
Model39%27%34%
Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26
Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Paulton34%History 30%Model 39%
Draw38%History 50%Model 27%
Falmouth Town27%History 20%Model 34%
Over 1.571%History 70%Model 71%
Over 2.548%History 50%Model 46%
Over 3.527%History 30%Model 24%
Both teams to score55%History 60%Model 51%
1st half Over 0.563%History 53%Model 72%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.525%History 25%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Southern Football League, Division One South 26/27 in numbers

Matches played130/451
Goals per match3.00
Home wins42%
Draws22%
Away wins36%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams scored58%
1st half goals per match1.42