Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama prediction and pre-match statistics, J2 League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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J2 League

?LWLDW

Omiya Ardija

21.10.2026

11:00

?DDWLD

Kataller Toyama

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Omiya Ardija	11	5	5	1	21:11	20
4.	Kataller Toyama	11	5	4	2	20:11	19

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.4 : 1.3

History40%20%40%

Model39%26%35%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Omiya Ardija40%History 40%Model 39%

Draw23%History 20%Model 26%

Kataller Toyama37%History 40%Model 35%

Over 1.573%History 70%Model 75%

Over 2.550%History 50%Model 51%

Over 3.534%History 40%Model 29%

Both teams to score47%History 40%Model 55%

1st half Over 0.567%History 70%Model 63%

Corners Over 9.539%History 40%Model 37%

Cards Over 3.530%History 30%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

J2 League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played111/380

Goals per match2.60

Home wins45%

Draws26%

Away wins29%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Both teams scored53%

Corner kicks10.0

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J2 League 26/27 in numbers

Omiya Ardija vs Kataller Toyama, J2 League

Key probabilities?