New Paltz Hawks vs William Paterson Pioneers, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
NCAA III, Women
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New Paltz Hawks
21.10.2026
20:00
?LDLLL
William Paterson Pioneers
MPWDLGPts
6.New Paltz Hawks62046:136
10.William Paterson Pioneers60153:191
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.58 : 1.58
History50%8%42%
Model38%24%38%
Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26
Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

New Paltz Hawks44%History 50%Model 38%
Draw16%History 8%Model 24%
William Paterson Pioneers40%History 42%Model 38%
Over 1.579%History 75%Model 82%
Over 2.560%History 58%Model 61%
Over 3.540%History 42%Model 39%
Both teams to score52%History 42%Model 63%
1st half Over 0.576%History 75%Model 78%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Matches played2150/2864
Goals per match3.37
Home wins45%
Draws15%
Away wins40%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams scored33%
1st half goals per match1.67