Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka prediction and pre-match statistics, J1 League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Nagoya Grampus

21.10.2026

11:00

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Cerezo Osaka

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
12.	Nagoya Grampus	10	4	0	6	12:16	12
13.	Cerezo Osaka	10	3	3	4	9:16	12

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Nagoya Grampus: Little data · matches: 4
Cerezo Osaka: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)2.13 : 1

History63%13%25%

Model63%20%17%

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Nagoya Grampus63%History 63%Model 63%

Draw16%History 13%Model 20%

Cerezo Osaka21%History 25%Model 17%

Over 1.578%History 75%Model 82%

Over 2.561%History 63%Model 60%

Over 3.538%History 38%Model 38%

Both teams to score59%History 63%Model 56%

1st half Over 0.583%History 88%Model 78%

Corners Over 9.567%History 63%Model 72%

Cards Over 3.538%History 38%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

J1 League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played100/380

Goals per match2.92

Home wins44%

Draws21%

Away wins35%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Both teams scored56%

Corner kicks9.3

Key probabilities?

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J1 League 26/27 in numbers

Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka, J1 League

Key probabilities?