Mount St. Joseph Lions vs Transylvania Pioneers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Mount St. Joseph Lions

22.10.2026

00:00

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Transylvania Pioneers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Mount St. Joseph Lions	6	5	0	1	20:6	15
2.	Transylvania Pioneers	6	4	2	0	18:1	14

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.2 : 1

History40%20%40%

Model41%29%31%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Mount St. Joseph Lions40%History 40%Model 41%

Draw24%History 20%Model 29%

Transylvania Pioneers35%History 40%Model 31%

Over 1.567%History 70%Model 65%

Over 2.549%History 60%Model 38%

Over 3.514%History 10%Model 18%

Both teams to score47%History 50%Model 44%

1st half Over 0.571%History 70%Model 73%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Mount St. Joseph Lions vs Transylvania Pioneers, NCAA III, Women

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