Metallist-Korelev vs Lytkarino prediction and pre-match statistics, Moscow Oblast Championship

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Moscow Oblast Championship - League A

?WLDLL

Metallist-Korelev

24.10.2026

12:00

?DLWWL

Lytkarino

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
9.	Metallist-Korelev	25	7	4	14	36:56	25
12.	Lytkarino	25	5	1	19	37:115	16

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.54 : 1.58

History50%8%42%

Model59%18%23%

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 2

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2

Key probabilities?

Metallist-Korelev54%History 50%Model 59%

Draw13%History 8%Model 18%

Lytkarino32%History 42%Model 23%

Over 1.592%History 92%Model 92%

Over 2.576%History 75%Model 78%

Over 3.557%History 54%Model 59%

Both teams to score68%History 63%Model 73%

1st half Over 0.595%History 100%Model 90%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Moscow Oblast Championship - League A 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played174/182

Goals per match4.14

Home wins43%

Draws12%

Away wins45%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Both teams scored58%

Key probabilities?

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Moscow Oblast Championship - League A 2026 in numbers

Metallist-Korelev vs Lytkarino, Moscow Oblast Championship - League A

Key probabilities?