Messiah Falcons vs York Spartans prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Messiah Falcons

22.10.2026

00:00

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York Spartans

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Messiah Falcons	4	4	0	0	13:1	12
5.	York Spartans	4	2	0	2	2:2	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.46 : 1.14

History57%18%25%

Model67%18%16%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 5Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Messiah Falcons62%History 57%Model 67%

Draw18%History 18%Model 18%

York Spartans20%History 25%Model 16%

Over 1.580%History 73%Model 87%

Over 2.567%History 65%Model 70%

Over 3.552%History 55%Model 48%

Both teams to score49%History 35%Model 62%

1st half Over 0.589%History 90%Model 88%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Messiah Falcons vs York Spartans, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?