Merrimack (W) vs Siena (W) prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA Regular Season, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA Regular Season, Women

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Merrimack (W)

22.10.2026

00:00

?WWWWL

Siena (W)

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)0.83 : 2.05

History15%30%55%

Model14%20%66%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Merrimack (W)15%History 15%Model 14%

Draw25%History 30%Model 20%

Siena (W)60%History 55%Model 66%

Over 1.574%History 69%Model 78%

Over 2.558%History 62%Model 55%

Over 3.537%History 40%Model 33%

Both teams to score51%History 52%Model 49%

1st half Over 0.552%History 46%Model 57%

Corners Over 9.538%History 25%Model 51%

Cards Over 3.50%History 0%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA Regular Season, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2007/2570

Goals per match2.80

Home wins47%

Draws21%

Away wins32%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams scored43%

1st half goals per match1.22

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NCAA Regular Season, Women 2026 in numbers

Merrimack (W) vs Siena (W), NCAA Regular Season, Women

Key probabilities?