Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels vs William Peace Pacers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels

21.10.2026

19:00

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William Peace Pacers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels	6	3	0	3	19:7	9
9.	William Peace Pacers	6	1	0	5	3:17	3

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)2.5 : 0.96

History47%10%43%

Model71%17%13%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 21.10.26

Days of rest: 2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels59%History 47%Model 71%

Draw13%History 10%Model 17%

William Peace Pacers28%History 43%Model 13%

Over 1.593%History 100%Model 86%

Over 2.569%History 70%Model 67%

Over 3.536%History 27%Model 46%

Both teams to score50%History 43%Model 57%

1st half Over 0.586%History 90%Model 82%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels vs William Peace Pacers, NCAA III, Women

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