Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo, Copa Uruguay

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Copa Uruguay
?WDWWW
Liverpool Montevideo
21.10.2026
20:00
?DLLWL
Cerro Largo
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Liverpool Montevideo: Little data · matches: 2
Cerro Largo: Little data · matches: 1
Expected goals (model)1.75 : 0.75
History75%0%25%
Model61%23%16%
Days of rest: 2.9Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26
Days of rest: 4.9Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Liverpool Montevideo68%History 75%Model 61%
Draw12%History 0%Model 23%
Cerro Largo20%History 25%Model 16%
Over 1.573%History 75%Model 71%
Over 2.560%History 75%Model 46%
Over 3.512%History 0%Model 24%
Both teams to score47%History 50%Model 44%
1st half Over 0.564%History 75%Model 53%
Corners Over 9.565%History 75%Model 54%
Cards Over 3.525%History 25%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Copa Uruguay 2026 in numbers

Matches played42/45
Goals per match2.74
Home wins38%
Draws29%
Away wins33%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams scored48%
Corner kicks10.0