Ithaca Bombers vs Rochester Institute Tigers prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Ithaca Bombers

22.10.2026

00:30

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Rochester Institute Tigers

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Ithaca Bombers	6	1	5	0	6:5	8
9.	Rochester Institute Tigers	6	1	2	3	5:11	5

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Rochester Institute Tigers: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.25 : 1.04

History29%50%21%

Model41%28%31%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Ithaca Bombers35%History 29%Model 41%

Draw39%History 50%Model 28%

Rochester Institute Tigers26%History 21%Model 31%

Over 1.569%History 71%Model 67%

Over 2.539%History 38%Model 40%

Over 3.518%History 17%Model 20%

Both teams to score42%History 38%Model 46%

1st half Over 0.556%History 58%Model 53%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Ithaca Bombers vs Rochester Institute Tigers, NCAA III, Men

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