Ideale Bari vs ASD Norba Mola prediction and pre-match statistics, Promozione Puglia

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Ideale Bari

25.10.2026

15:00

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ASD Norba Mola

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
5.	Ideale Bari	7	4	1	2	15:8	13
11.	ASD Norba Mola	7	2	2	3	9:12	8

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Ideale Bari: Little data · matches: 3
ASD Norba Mola: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)3 : 0.88

History75%25%0%

Model80%12%8%

Days of rest: 6.9Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 01.11.26

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 01.11.26

Key probabilities?

Ideale Bari77%History 75%Model 80%

Draw19%History 25%Model 12%

ASD Norba Mola4%History 0%Model 8%

Over 1.589%History 88%Model 90%

Over 2.568%History 63%Model 74%

Over 3.558%History 63%Model 54%

Both teams to score65%History 75%Model 55%

1st half Over 0.586%History 88%Model 85%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Promozione Puglia 26/27 in numbers

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Matches played109/375

Goals per match3.68

Home wins48%

Draws19%

Away wins33%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Both teams scored53%

1st half goals per match1.65

Key probabilities?

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Promozione Puglia 26/27 in numbers

Ideale Bari vs ASD Norba Mola, Promozione Puglia

Key probabilities?