Houghton Highlanders vs Geneseo Knights prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Houghton Highlanders

22.10.2026

00:00

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Geneseo Knights

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Geneseo Knights	9	6	2	1	21:8	20
5.	Houghton Highlanders	9	6	1	2	16:8	19

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Geneseo Knights: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)1.18 : 1.15

History30%13%57%

Model37%28%35%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Houghton Highlanders33%History 30%Model 37%

Draw20%History 13%Model 28%

Geneseo Knights46%History 57%Model 35%

Over 1.567%History 68%Model 67%

Over 2.548%History 55%Model 41%

Over 3.515%History 10%Model 21%

Both teams to score52%History 57%Model 47%

1st half Over 0.581%History 90%Model 71%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Houghton Highlanders vs Geneseo Knights, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?