Hollins vs Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Hollins

21.10.2026

20:00

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Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
207.	Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels	5	3	0	2	19:8	9
457.	Hollins	4	1	0	3	13:8	3

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.49 : 5.09

History24%0%76%

Model5%6%89%

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 23.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Hollins14%History 24%Model 5%

Draw3%History 0%Model 6%

Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels83%History 76%Model 89%

Over 1.592%History 85%Model 99%

Over 2.587%History 77%Model 96%

Over 3.579%History 69%Model 89%

Both teams to score58%History 39%Model 77%

1st half Over 0.599%History 100%Model 97%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Hollins vs Mary Baldwin Fighting Squirrels, NCAA III, Women

Key probabilities?