Hilbert College Hawks vs Carlow Celtics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
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NCAA III, Women
?LLWWW
Hilbert College Hawks
21.10.2026
20:00
?LDLLL
Carlow Celtics
MPWDLGPts
6.Hilbert College Hawks41036:93
7.Carlow Celtics40132:131
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Hilbert College Hawks: Little data · matches: 4
Expected goals (model)2.88 : 0.95
History68%20%13%
Model77%14%10%
Days of rest: 3.9Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Hilbert College Hawks72%History 68%Model 77%
Draw17%History 20%Model 14%
Carlow Celtics11%History 13%Model 10%
Over 1.585%History 80%Model 89%
Over 2.577%History 80%Model 74%
Over 3.554%History 55%Model 53%
Both teams to score59%History 60%Model 58%
1st half Over 0.587%History 80%Model 94%
Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –
Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Matches played2150/2864
Goals per match3.37
Home wins45%
Draws15%
Away wins40%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams scored33%
1st half goals per match1.67