Hartwick Hawks vs Russell Sage Gators prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Hartwick Hawks

22.10.2026

00:00

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Russell Sage Gators

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
9.	Hartwick Hawks	9	3	0	6	12:14	9
11.	Russell Sage Gators	8	1	3	4	9:14	6

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.92 : 1.08

History55%20%25%

Model57%22%21%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Hartwick Hawks56%History 55%Model 57%

Draw21%History 20%Model 22%

Russell Sage Gators23%History 25%Model 21%

Over 1.582%History 83%Model 80%

Over 2.561%History 63%Model 58%

Over 3.535%History 35%Model 35%

Both teams to score61%History 65%Model 56%

1st half Over 0.571%History 71%Model 71%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Hartwick Hawks vs Russell Sage Gators, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?