Hareid IL vs Valder prediction and pre-match statistics, 4th Division

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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4th Division - Sunnmøre

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Hareid IL

23.10.2026

17:30

?WLWDD

Valder

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	Hareid IL	21	12	4	5	60:38	40
11.	Valder	21	4	5	12	24:51	17

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.35 : 1.25

History55%30%15%

Model62%19%19%

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2

Key probabilities?

Hareid IL58%History 55%Model 62%

Draw24%History 30%Model 19%

Valder17%History 15%Model 19%

Over 1.581%History 75%Model 87%

Over 2.567%History 65%Model 70%

Over 3.552%History 55%Model 48%

Both teams to score57%History 50%Model 65%

1st half Over 0.588%History 88%Model 88%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

4th Division - Sunnmøre 2026 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played126/132

Goals per match4.19

Home wins50%

Draws13%

Away wins37%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Both teams scored63%

Key probabilities?

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4th Division - Sunnmøre 2026 in numbers

Hareid IL vs Valder, 4th Division - Sunnmøre

Key probabilities?