Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat prediction and pre-match statistics, Ethiopian Premier League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Ethiopian Premier League

?DLDDW

Hadiya Hossana

21.10.2026

13:00

?LDWLW

Welwalo Adigrat

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
13.	Welwalo Adigrat	1	0	1	0	1:1	1
15.	Hadiya Hossana	2	0	1	1	1:2	1

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Hadiya Hossana: Little data · matches: 2
Welwalo Adigrat: Little data · matches: 1

Expected goals (model)0.75 : 1

History0%75%25%

Model27%33%40%

Days of rest: 3Matches in 14 days: 2

Days of rest: 4.8Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Hadiya Hossana13%History 0%Model 27%

Draw54%History 75%Model 33%

Welwalo Adigrat33%History 25%Model 40%

Over 1.564%History 75%Model 52%

Over 2.513%History 0%Model 26%

Over 3.55%History 0%Model 10%

Both teams to score54%History 75%Model 33%

1st half Over 0.524%History 25%Model 22%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Ethiopian Premier League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played18/27

Goals per match1.28

Home wins11%

Draws44%

Away wins44%

Over 2.5 goals6%

Both teams scored33%

Corner kicks8.4

Key probabilities?

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Ethiopian Premier League 26/27 in numbers

Hadiya Hossana vs Welwalo Adigrat, Ethiopian Premier League

Key probabilities?