Geneseo Knights vs Houghton Highlanders prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Geneseo Knights

21.10.2026

21:00

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Houghton Highlanders

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
1.	Geneseo Knights	9	7	0	2	17:7	21
7.	Houghton Highlanders	9	4	2	3	19:17	14

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Geneseo Knights: Little data · matches: 3
Houghton Highlanders: Little data · matches: 4

Expected goals (model)2.08 : 0.67

History88%13%0%

Model70%19%11%

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4.1Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

Geneseo Knights79%History 88%Model 70%

Draw16%History 13%Model 19%

Houghton Highlanders5%History 0%Model 11%

Over 1.580%History 83%Model 76%

Over 2.553%History 54%Model 52%

Over 3.527%History 25%Model 30%

Both teams to score48%History 54%Model 43%

1st half Over 0.591%History 100%Model 81%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Geneseo Knights vs Houghton Highlanders, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?