Franklin & Marshall Diplomats vs Ursinus Bears prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Men

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Men

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Franklin & Marshall Diplomats

22.10.2026

00:00

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Ursinus Bears

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
4.	Ursinus Bears	6	3	1	2	9:8	10
8.	Franklin & Marshall Diplomats	6	1	1	4	4:7	4

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Franklin & Marshall Diplomats: Little data · matches: 3
Ursinus Bears: Little data · matches: 3

Expected goals (model)1.17 : 0.83

History33%33%33%

Model43%30%26%

Days of rest: 4.3Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 24.10.26

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 25.10.26

Key probabilities?

Franklin & Marshall Diplomats38%History 33%Model 43%

Draw32%History 33%Model 30%

Ursinus Bears30%History 33%Model 26%

Over 1.555%History 50%Model 59%

Over 2.533%History 33%Model 32%

Over 3.515%History 17%Model 14%

Both teams to score44%History 50%Model 39%

1st half Over 0.568%History 67%Model 69%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2145/2812

Goals per match3.27

Home wins44%

Draws18%

Away wins38%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Both teams scored48%

1st half goals per match1.47

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NCAA III, Men 2026 in numbers

Franklin & Marshall Diplomats vs Ursinus Bears, NCAA III, Men

Key probabilities?