Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal prediction and pre-match statistics, EFL Cup

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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EFL Cup

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Fleetwood Town

27.10.2026

20:00

?WWWLW

Arsenal

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Fleetwood Town: Little data · matches: 3
Arsenal: Little data · matches: 1

Expected goals (model)2 : 2

History50%0%50%

Model40%21%40%

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 28.10.26

Days of rest: 9.2Matches in 14 days: 1Next match: 28.10.26

Key probabilities?

Fleetwood Town45%History 50%Model 40%

Draw10%History 0%Model 21%

Arsenal45%History 50%Model 40%

Over 1.579%History 67%Model 91%

Over 2.571%History 67%Model 76%

Over 3.562%History 67%Model 57%

Both teams to score62%History 50%Model 75%

1st half Over 0.582%History 83%Model 81%

Corners Over 9.533%History 33%Model 33%

Cards Over 3.533%History 33%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

EFL Cup 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played76/87

Goals per match3.09

Home wins39%

Draws17%

Away wins43%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Both teams scored55%

Corner kicks10.1

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EFL Cup 26/27 in numbers

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal, EFL Cup

Key probabilities?