Ferroviario Beira vs AD Pemba, Moçambola

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.
Open in Prematch analyzer
Moçambola
?WLLLL
Ferroviario Beira
21.10.2026
14:00
?DLWLL
AD Pemba
MPWDLGPts
3.Ferroviario Beira22107525:1737
12.AD Pemba2054119:2019
0'
0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?
Venue?
Probability?
Expected goals (model)1.33 : 0.38
History62%24%14%
Model61%28%10%
Days of rest: 3Matches in 14 days: 3
Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3

Key probabilities?

Ferroviario Beira62%History 62%Model 61%
Draw26%History 24%Model 28%
AD Pemba12%History 14%Model 10%
Over 1.554%History 57%Model 51%
Over 2.526%History 28%Model 24%
Over 3.57%History 5%Model 9%
Both teams to score19%History 14%Model 23%
1st half Over 0.561%History 66%Model 55%
Corners Over 9.530%History 30%Model 31%
Cards Over 3.527%History 27%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Moçambola 2026 in numbers

Matches played144/151
Goals per match1.69
Home wins49%
Draws31%
Away wins20%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Both teams scored28%
1st half goals per match0.76