FC Zurich vs Lucerne prediction and pre-match statistics, Swiss Super League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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Swiss Super League

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FC Zurich

24.10.2026

17:00

?WLLWL

Lucerne

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
6.	Lucerne	9	3	3	3	17:18	12
7.	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14:20	11

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.4 : 1.6

History50%30%20%

Model55%19%25%

Days of rest: 6.1Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 01.11.26

Days of rest: 7Matches in 14 days: 2Next match: 31.10.26

Key probabilities?

FC Zurich53%History 50%Model 55%

Draw25%History 30%Model 19%

Lucerne23%History 20%Model 25%

Over 1.595%History 100%Model 91%

Over 2.583%History 90%Model 76%

Over 3.553%History 50%Model 57%

Both teams to score76%History 80%Model 73%

1st half Over 0.589%History 100%Model 78%

Corners Over 9.566%History 70%Model 61%

Cards Over 3.570%History 70%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

Swiss Super League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played60/132

Goals per match3.80

Home wins43%

Draws17%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Both teams scored68%

Corner kicks10.6

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Swiss Super League 26/27 in numbers

FC Zurich vs Lucerne, Swiss Super League

Key probabilities?