FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction and pre-match statistics, J1 League

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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J1 League

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FC Tokyo

21.10.2026

11:00

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Kashiwa Reysol

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
3.	FC Tokyo	10	7	2	1	21:8	23
5.	Kashiwa Reysol	10	7	0	3	22:17	21

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)1.6 : 1.6

History50%0%50%

Model38%23%38%

Days of rest: 4.2Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 25.10.26

Days of rest: 4Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 24.10.26

Key probabilities?

FC Tokyo44%History 50%Model 38%

Draw12%History 0%Model 23%

Kashiwa Reysol44%History 50%Model 38%

Over 1.581%History 80%Model 83%

Over 2.556%History 50%Model 62%

Over 3.540%History 40%Model 40%

Both teams to score52%History 40%Model 64%

1st half Over 0.555%History 50%Model 59%

Corners Over 9.536%History 30%Model 41%

Cards Over 3.530%History 30%Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

J1 League 26/27 in numbers

Full table and statistics ›

Matches played100/380

Goals per match2.92

Home wins44%

Draws21%

Away wins35%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Both teams scored56%

Corner kicks9.3

Key probabilities?

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J1 League 26/27 in numbers

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol, J1 League

Key probabilities?