Farmingdale State Rams vs Sarah Lawrence Gryphons prediction and pre-match statistics, NCAA III, Women

Pre-match analysisProbabilities from both teams' history and a goal model, value in the odds, all statistics and the competition context in one place.

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NCAA III, Women

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Farmingdale State Rams

24.10.2026

19:30

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Sarah Lawrence Gryphons

		MP	W	D	L	G	Pts
2.	Sarah Lawrence Gryphons	9	7	2	0	40:1	23
4.	Farmingdale State Rams	8	5	2	1	31:5	17

0'15'30'45'60'75'90'

Minute

Matches?

Venue?

Probability?

Expected goals (model)2.06 : 2.1

History23%46%31%

Model39%20%41%

Days of rest: 5Matches in 14 days: 4Next match: 28.10.26

Days of rest: 7.1Matches in 14 days: 3Next match: 28.10.26

Key probabilities?

Farmingdale State Rams31%History 23%Model 39%

Draw33%History 46%Model 20%

Sarah Lawrence Gryphons36%History 31%Model 41%

Over 1.585%History 77%Model 92%

Over 2.567%History 55%Model 78%

Over 3.553%History 46%Model 60%

Both teams to score61%History 46%Model 77%

1st half Over 0.573%History 62%Model 84%

Corners Over 9.5–History –Model –

Cards Over 3.5–History –Model –

History = share of matches of both teams in the selected view, averaged. Model = Poisson model from goals scored and conceded by both teams.

NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

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Matches played2150/2864

Goals per match3.37

Home wins45%

Draws15%

Away wins40%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Both teams scored33%

1st half goals per match1.67

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NCAA III, Women 2026 in numbers

Farmingdale State Rams vs Sarah Lawrence Gryphons, NCAA III, Women

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